Short Sales, Foreclosures, Resales … Huh?

Times were you looked at a few houses, found one you liked and made an offer to the current owner.  After a bit of haggling, you settled on a price that both parties could live with and away you went.  Easy as pie.

In the current landscape, however, buying a home is not always that simple.  Due to the prevalence of foreclosure properties and upside down sellers in today’s market, a buyer is often in the dark as to the nuances that may vary from one property to the next.  To that end, there are certain rules of thumb that a buyer should keep in mind as he or she navigates the 2009 Scottsdale Real Estate market.

1.  The Short Sale Property

Upside Down Seller

"Upside down, boy you turn me, inside out ..."

You’ve read about them in the paper, heard about them on the news and know somebody who attempted one, but still may not know exactly what a short sale is.  First off, I would be remiss if I didn’t make the requisite quip that short sales are anything but short.  By and large, they are loooooooooooooooooooooong.

The term “short sale” is derived from the seller’s lack of equity in the property.  In fact, the seller is upside down to the point that the market value of the home is less than what is owed on the mortgage(s).  With a short sale, the seller must convince the bank to take a loss by agreeing to the sale.  There are numerous pitfalls, including waiting for weeks or months for the lienholder’s response and low success rates (less than 10% of short sales are successful).  One particular difficulty lies in ascertaining whether a seller even qualifies for a short sale at any price.  Each institution has its own unique standards, but sellers must adequately demonstrate hardship (job loss, etc), provide up to date financial statements and pay stubs, document where all funds for a line of credit have gone (the lender in 2nd position will disallow a short sale if the funds went anywhere except back into the house (kitchen remodel, pool, etc).  The biggest saboteur of a short sale, other than an incompetent listing agent, is the presence of a second loan.  Multiply the difficulty exponentially if the loans are held by different institutions.

If it sounds like a lengthy, treacherous process, that is because it often is.  Short sales, in this agent’s humble opinion, only make sense for the buyer with no real time table.  Investors, specifically, are primed to take a stab at one if the purported price (the price listed in the MLS is really just a moving target when you don’t know what the bank will ultimately deem acceptable) is attractive enough.  If you don’t plan to live in it, and won’t be devastated if it doesn’t pan out, have at it.

2. The Foreclosure Property

I'll take a single-family home and $20 cash back, please

I'll take a single-family home and $20 cash back, please

If 2009 could be summed up by initials, they would be “REO.”  Real Estate Owned properties, or foreclosures, are all the rage this season, and for good reason.  Banks are awash in foreclosed homes at present and have effectively set the market.  Eager to rid themselves of bloated inventories, the various institutions have well-earned reputations for bargain basement pricing.  By the time a bank takes a property back from an owner in default via a Trustee’s Sale, I find they are often ready to deal.  If the short sale process can feel like a rudderless vessel as your offer drifts from file to file in the bank’s loss mitigation department, there is actually a captain at the helm by the time the bank ultimately rejects the offer(s) and opts to foreclose instead.  Now an asset manager is responsible for offloading the acquired property.  Just the titles alone speak volumes as to the motivational forces at play:

loss mitigation VS asset management

More often than not, a property that is taken back by the bank will reemerge as an REO property at an even lower price than the listed price of the failed short sale attempt.  Does it make sense?  Not really, but that’s what often happens.  And the price is no longer a moving target.  With the bank now the principal, they set the list price and will negotiate more like a typical seller (albeit at a slightly slower and more aloof pace).  Expect to wait up to a week for a response and the possibility of fighting off multiple offers due to the low pricing, but it sure beats waiting months for an all too often unreasonable response.

The negatives of dealing in bank-owned property are primarily rooted in lack of disclosure about the home and the penchant for selling property “as is.”  You can be sure that something will be missing from the home.  Either vandals have cannibalized the A/C for copper or the former owner yanked all of the appliances and the hall bath towel rack out of the home on the way out, but rest assured, some component of the house is FUBAR.  Complete with heavy handed addenda that favors the seller, the trade off for the great price on a bank property is an often uncared for home with no disclosed history of damage/repair and no one to repair the defects you find during the course of your due diligence period.

Yes, you do get the opportunity to inspect even though the bank will require an “as is” addendum.  If you ever see language in a contract or addendum disallowing your right to inspect the property … run!

3.  The Resale Home

Quick, Marge, get the camera ... real people!

Quick, Marge, get the camera ... real people!

Ah, a home actually owned and sold by a real, unencumbered person.  I must confess, finding such a specimen in the modern Real Estate jungle has been a rarity.  At least finding one that can compete with the pricing of bank-owned homes, that is.  As more and more sellers become realistic about the erosion that has taken place in Valley home values, though, I am starting to see the gap close ever so slightly.  Obviously, anyone who bought a home in 2005 or later is not in a position to competitively price it for today’s market without attempting a short sale due to the subsequent swan dive in prices, but those who have been in their homes for a decade or longer are finally getting the memo and positioning themselves to compete with the banks.  With prices still trending downwards, the smart seller is getting out in front of the curve and pricing his/her home to sell before any further price degradation can occur.  When you find such a home with a seller still capable of maintaining, disclosing and repairing the property’s condition, and priced in line with the foreclosure market … buy it!

So there is a (not so) brief synopsis.  Don’t limit yourselves unnecessarily when shopping for a home.  Allow your agent to explore all available avenues, just be aware of what you might be signing up for with the entanglements that come with each option.

Most importantly, remember this:   A low price in the absence of value is meaningless.

New Construction Vs Bank Owned Homes – A Brewing Battle?

paul_1

It is an inevitable starting point for many buyers right now. Before I can finish saying hello, I am bombarded with requests to see bank-owned and short sale housing. Frankly, were we to change places, I would most likely do the very same. I am aware enough of the opportunities this market has created in the foreclosure arena to dedicate a more or less weekly post to bank-owned property spotlights, after all.

However, there are values everywhere right now. Resale homes have been dragged inexorably closer to the shallow end of the pool by the bank properties, and builders have been forced to sell off their inventory homes at even deeper discounts than usual. There is no part of the market that isn’t coughing up a bit of water.

Ah, brand new construction at foreclosure pricing … can it be?

New construction homes in Phoenix Foreclosure Pricing

In some cases, yes, it can.

Builder spec homes just might provide the alternative to bank-owned property that Phoenix area value hunters seek. A spec home is either one which the builder constructed without a waiting buyer in the wings or one in which the original buyer bailed out on the transaction after construction commenced. These homes make great options for buyers who prefer brand new construction, but don’t want the lengthy wait involved in having their new home built from scratch. A buyer can typically move into a completed spec home within 30 days. Of course, if construction is complete, the new buyer will not be able to make any cosmetic choices in regards to flooring, cabinetry, etc. The big discounts, however, are often very persuasive arguments for that sacrifice.

Eager to dump existing inventory in the best of times, builders are even more anxious to get their specs off the books in this market. As evidenced by the near standstill in new permits being pulled by builders for new projects, it is cut and run time for many. I am seeing completed spec homes with significant levels of upgrading being advertised for sale well below base price. In other words, if you signed a contract to build from scratch, you would pay more for a home with absolutely no upgrades than you would for the completed home with cherry cabinets, slab granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, premium culdesac lot, etc.

Another advantage that a builder can offer a prospective buyer right now is tough to beat in-house financing. Not usually a fan of running my loan through the same guy who is selling me something, any conflict of interest concern tends to melt away when they disclose the cheap rate blocks they have purchased for their customers. In addition to the low sales prices, I have isolated several builders who are paying up to the maximum allowable buyer closing costs. A recent client is getting a fixed rate in the 4’s with an additional buydown for the first two years. At no out of pocket cost. All he has to show up to closing with is a downpayment. Not too shabby. *

You have to be careful, however. As I mentioned in a previous post, there are many struggling builders throughout Maricopa County. While a little financial pinch works in the buyer’s favor, too much can lead to unfinished subdivisions, mechanic’s liens and other fun stuff. You want to do your research (or better yet, work with a knowledgeable Realtor 😉 to ensure you are not walking into a doomed project. I recommend national builders with ample working capital and developments that are nearing close-out.

Ghost towns make poor investments

You don’t want to get stuck in a ghost town.

Bear in mind that you may have to venture a bit further from your desired location if brand new construction is your bent. Scottsdale is largely landlocked, with only the valuable land in the North remaining open to development. There is infill construction in central Phoenix, but the majority of new home projects are located in South Phoenix (Baseline corridor), North Phoenix (I-17 corridor) and pushing ever Westward towards LA. For those in the Southeast Valley (Mesa, Gilbert, Chandler, Tempe, Queen Creek), there are still plenty of options.

I spent the last week looking at a fair amount of them, as a matter of fact.

I had one of those purported foreclosure buyers who ended up buying a brand new spec home from a quality home builder instead of any of the bank-owned homes in the same price range that needed work, had no available warranty and disclosure information and no special financing incentives.

The moral of the story is not to rule anything out. Look less at the property label (bank-owned, resale, new) and more at the property itself. You just might be surprised at the unexpected bargains that are available to be had across the full color spectrum of the 2009 Real Estate market.

Give me a call if you want to find just the right shade of perfect.

The color of money

* I always advise speaking with a reputable outside lender to compare programs/costs

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